Stat 4880/5088

Bayesian Statistics and Statistical Computing

General Information

• STAT 4880/5088
• Fall 2024 TR 11:00-12:15
• Dr. Bryan Clair.
• Office hours: Tu 2:10-3, W 2:30-3:30 Th 12:30-1:30 in 109 Ritter Hall
• Course syllabus
• Textbook: Johnson, Ott, Dogucu, Bayes Rules!
  

Resources

Exam 1 data: space-objects.csv

• XKCD: Frequentists vs. Bayesians, Bayes' Theorem, Modified Bayes' Theorem, Seagull, Conditional Risk
• random.org: Random location on Earth.
• Beta distribution mathlet.
• Gamma distribution applet (just the red curve for us)

Materials

1. Bayesian Models for Events
2. Beta Distribution
3. Gamma-Poisson Model

1. Beta is a probability distribution
2. Normal-Normal simulation

• Take Home Quiz 1: thq1.pdf

Data

• space-objects.csv (Source: Our World in Data via UN Office for Outer Space Affairs)
• fake_news from Bayes Rules!
• normtemp.csv These data are derived from a dataset presented in Mackowiak, P. A., Wasserman, S. S., and Levine, M. M. (1992), "A Critical Appraisal of 98.6 Degrees F, the Upper Limit of the Normal Body Temperature, and Other Legacies of Carl Reinhold August Wunderlich," Journal of the American Medical Association, 268, 1578-1580.