Forecast Contest
Time Series, Spring 2025
Overall standings
| Name |
Score |
| Bryan C. |
106.0 |
| Brady L. |
108.0 |
| Lucas K. |
122.5 |
| Seyun J. 📈 |
139.0 |
| Luis P. |
139.5 |
| Ansel P. 🚧 |
147.5 |
| Yohan L. |
153.0 |
| Ava R. 🗳 📈 |
160.0 |
| Kaitlyn L. |
166.5 |
| Jop G. |
180.0 |
| Mallareddy R. |
182.0 |
| Noah B. |
188.5 |
| Kieran F. |
190.0 |
| Luke L. |
191.5 |
| Bhanu M. 🏈 🛫 |
196.5 |
| Dennis S. |
202.0 |
| Megh P. |
203.0 |
| Munazzah R. |
209.5 |
| Rowan D. |
210.0 |
| Alexander M. |
210.5 |
| Dhyana P. |
210.5 |
| Preet K. |
213.0 |
| Waleed A. 🐻 |
213.5 |
| Conor A. |
215.5 |
| Izzy L. |
219.5 |
| Nikhil M. |
235.5 |
| Caroline L. |
237.5 |
| Taylor C. |
245.5 |
| Harrison F. |
261.0 |
| Claudia L. |
262.5 |
| Trillyon E. |
288.5 |
| Venugopal R. |
328.0 |
St. Louis (LSX) high temperature, Feb 2, 2025, degrees Fahrenheit.
Correct value: 64
| Name |
point |
lower |
upper |
point_score |
int_score |
Score |
| Waleed A. |
63.0 |
40 |
80 |
1.0 |
40 |
3.0 |
| Lucas K. |
51.0 |
32 |
67 |
13.0 |
35 |
4.0 |
| Bryan C. |
52.0 |
32 |
60 |
12.0 |
68 |
8.0 |
| Alexander M. |
50.0 |
20 |
60 |
14.0 |
80 |
12.0 |
| Dennis S. |
50.0 |
46 |
54 |
14.0 |
108 |
14.5 |
| Brady L. |
44.0 |
26 |
70 |
20.0 |
44 |
15.0 |
| Rowan D. |
48.0 |
35 |
58 |
16.0 |
83 |
16.5 |
| Harrison F. |
48.0 |
44 |
54 |
16.0 |
110 |
19.5 |
| Munazzah R. |
45.0 |
35 |
55 |
19.0 |
110 |
22.5 |
| Megh P. |
45.0 |
35 |
55 |
19.0 |
110 |
22.5 |
| Jop G. |
41.0 |
28 |
62 |
23.0 |
54 |
24.5 |
| Luke L. |
45.3 |
28 |
52 |
18.7 |
144 |
26.0 |
| Luis P. |
40.0 |
12 |
68 |
24.0 |
56 |
27.0 |
| Conor A. |
42.0 |
25 |
55 |
22.0 |
120 |
30.0 |
| Yohan L. |
42.0 |
33 |
52 |
22.0 |
139 |
32.0 |
| Kaitlyn L. |
37.0 |
20 |
60 |
27.0 |
80 |
33.5 |
| Seyun J. |
42.0 |
35 |
50 |
22.0 |
155 |
34.0 |
| Ansel P. |
49.0 |
52 |
44 |
15.0 |
208 |
34.0 |
| Caroline L. |
42.0 |
34 |
50 |
22.0 |
156 |
35.5 |
| Nikhil M. |
42.0 |
34 |
50 |
22.0 |
156 |
35.5 |
| Kieran F. |
42.0 |
29 |
50 |
22.0 |
161 |
37.0 |
| Trillyon E. |
42.0 |
38 |
46 |
22.0 |
188 |
41.0 |
| Izzy L. |
35.0 |
20 |
55 |
29.0 |
125 |
43.0 |
| Preet K. |
39.0 |
30 |
48 |
25.0 |
178 |
46.0 |
| Noah B. |
38.0 |
25 |
50 |
26.0 |
165 |
46.5 |
| Claudia L. |
41.0 |
37 |
44 |
23.0 |
207 |
47.5 |
| Dhyana P. |
38.0 |
28 |
48 |
26.0 |
180 |
48.5 |
| Taylor C. |
35.0 |
18 |
48 |
29.0 |
190 |
54.0 |
| Mallareddy R. |
35.0 |
28 |
42 |
29.0 |
234 |
57.0 |
| Ava R. |
33.0 |
30 |
36 |
31.0 |
286 |
61.0 |
| Venugopal R. |
32.0 |
28 |
40 |
32.0 |
252 |
61.0 |
| Bhanu M. |
11.0 |
9 |
11 |
53.0 |
532 |
64.0 |
Point difference in Superbowl LIX, Feb 9, 2025. (Winner - loser)
Correct value: 18
| Name |
point |
lower |
upper |
point_score |
int_score |
Score |
| Bhanu M. |
10.0 |
2.0 |
18.0 |
8.0 |
16 |
6.0 |
| Noah B. |
10.0 |
3.0 |
20.0 |
8.0 |
17 |
7.5 |
| Mallareddy R. |
14.0 |
3.0 |
24.0 |
4.0 |
21 |
10.0 |
| Yohan L. |
20.0 |
5.0 |
35.0 |
2.0 |
30 |
12.0 |
| Jop G. |
8.0 |
1.0 |
20.0 |
10.0 |
19 |
12.0 |
| Luis P. |
14.0 |
0.0 |
36.0 |
4.0 |
36 |
14.5 |
| Brady L. |
8.0 |
1.0 |
24.0 |
10.0 |
23 |
17.0 |
| Ansel P. |
10.0 |
7.0 |
14.0 |
8.0 |
47 |
19.0 |
| Kaitlyn L. |
6.0 |
3.0 |
20.0 |
12.0 |
17 |
19.5 |
| Rowan D. |
6.0 |
1.0 |
21.0 |
12.0 |
20 |
22.5 |
| Venugopal R. |
8.0 |
4.0 |
14.0 |
10.0 |
50 |
23.0 |
| Taylor C. |
5.0 |
1.0 |
25.0 |
13.0 |
24 |
30.0 |
| Munazzah R. |
7.0 |
3.0 |
14.0 |
11.0 |
51 |
30.0 |
| Seyun J. |
7.0 |
3.0 |
14.0 |
11.0 |
51 |
30.0 |
| Caroline L. |
7.0 |
3.0 |
14.0 |
11.0 |
51 |
30.0 |
| Izzy L. |
7.0 |
2.0 |
14.0 |
11.0 |
52 |
32.5 |
| Bryan C. |
3.0 |
1.0 |
21.0 |
15.0 |
20 |
33.5 |
| Dhyana P. |
6.0 |
3.0 |
14.0 |
12.0 |
51 |
34.5 |
| Waleed A. |
7.0 |
0.0 |
11.0 |
11.0 |
81 |
37.5 |
| Ava R. |
7.0 |
3.0 |
10.0 |
11.0 |
87 |
39.5 |
| Luke L. |
2824.0 |
3.0 |
24.0 |
2806.0 |
21 |
39.5 |
| Alexander M. |
3.0 |
0.0 |
40.0 |
15.0 |
40 |
41.0 |
| Kieran F. |
5.0 |
3.0 |
13.0 |
13.0 |
60 |
43.0 |
| Lucas K. |
4.0 |
1.0 |
14.0 |
14.0 |
53 |
44.5 |
| Harrison F. |
5.0 |
0.5 |
10.5 |
13.0 |
85 |
46.0 |
| Preet K. |
4.0 |
2.0 |
12.0 |
14.0 |
70 |
47.0 |
| Conor A. |
3.0 |
1.0 |
14.0 |
15.0 |
53 |
49.5 |
| Claudia L. |
4.0 |
2.0 |
10.0 |
14.0 |
88 |
51.0 |
| Nikhil M. |
3.5 |
0.0 |
7.0 |
14.5 |
117 |
56.0 |
| Megh P. |
3.0 |
1.0 |
10.0 |
15.0 |
89 |
57.0 |
| Dennis S. |
3.0 |
1.0 |
5.0 |
15.0 |
134 |
60.0 |
| Trillyon E. |
35.0 |
28.0 |
35.0 |
17.0 |
107 |
61.0 |
US Total Construction Spending for January 2025 (TTLCON). Millions of dollars.
FRED series TTLCON
Correct value: 155938
| Name |
point |
lower |
upper |
point_score |
int_score |
Score |
| Ansel P. |
155000.0 |
153000.0 |
157000.0 |
938.000 |
4000.0 |
2.5 |
| Dennis S. |
155000.0 |
152500.0 |
157500.0 |
938.000 |
5000.0 |
3.5 |
| Lucas K. |
154549.0 |
151000.0 |
159000.0 |
1389.000 |
8000.0 |
6.5 |
| Bryan C. |
154549.0 |
150301.5 |
158796.4 |
1389.000 |
8494.9 |
7.5 |
| Jop G. |
158000.0 |
152000.0 |
175000.0 |
2062.000 |
23000.0 |
13.5 |
| Kaitlyn L. |
161000.0 |
152000.0 |
172000.0 |
5062.000 |
20000.0 |
16.5 |
| Brady L. |
158000.0 |
137000.0 |
170000.0 |
2062.000 |
33000.0 |
17.5 |
| Preet K. |
163488.0 |
153000.0 |
169000.0 |
7550.000 |
16000.0 |
18.0 |
| Rowan D. |
160000.0 |
145000.0 |
175000.0 |
4062.000 |
30000.0 |
18.5 |
| Yohan L. |
161000.0 |
158000.0 |
165000.0 |
5062.000 |
27620.0 |
19.5 |
| Nikhil M. |
160000.0 |
140000.0 |
180000.0 |
4062.000 |
40000.0 |
21.5 |
| Kieran F. |
163000.0 |
158000.0 |
169000.0 |
7062.000 |
31620.0 |
23.0 |
| Taylor C. |
168999.0 |
152001.0 |
173000.0 |
13061.000 |
20999.0 |
24.0 |
| Luis P. |
144635.0 |
135000.0 |
153000.0 |
11303.000 |
47380.0 |
29.0 |
| Luke L. |
164800.0 |
160000.0 |
173000.0 |
8862.000 |
53620.0 |
29.0 |
| Claudia L. |
167800.0 |
163000.0 |
169000.0 |
11862.000 |
76620.0 |
32.0 |
| Bhanu M. |
172000.0 |
171000.0 |
173000.0 |
16062.000 |
152620.0 |
37.0 |
| Dhyana P. |
173000.0 |
168000.0 |
180000.0 |
17062.000 |
132620.0 |
38.0 |
| Alexander M. |
153504.8 |
153505.0 |
154554286.0 |
2433.208 |
154400781.0 |
38.0 |
| Noah B. |
174914.0 |
164192.0 |
185636.0 |
18976.000 |
103984.0 |
38.0 |
| Ava R. |
172456.0 |
160100.0 |
18000.0 |
16518.000 |
1563100.0 |
41.0 |
| Waleed A. |
185000.0 |
180000.0 |
210000.0 |
29062.000 |
270620.0 |
42.0 |
| Izzy L. |
185.0 |
135.0 |
215.0 |
155753.000 |
1557310.0 |
44.0 |
| Munazzah R. |
1700000.0 |
1650000.0 |
1750000.0 |
1544062.000 |
15040620.0 |
47.0 |
| Seyun J. |
1730000.0 |
1700000.0 |
1760000.0 |
1574062.000 |
15500620.0 |
49.0 |
| Megh P. |
1800000.0 |
1750000.0 |
1850000.0 |
1644062.000 |
16040620.0 |
51.0 |
| Caroline L. |
1925000.0 |
1890000.0 |
1960000.0 |
1769062.000 |
17410620.0 |
54.0 |
| Mallareddy R. |
1980214.0 |
1880786.0 |
2010800.0 |
1824276.000 |
17378494.0 |
55.0 |
| Venugopal R. |
1955000.0 |
1950000.0 |
1980000.0 |
1799062.000 |
17970620.0 |
56.0 |
| Conor A. |
2150000.0 |
2000000.0 |
2200000.0 |
1994062.000 |
18640620.0 |
59.0 |
| Trillyon E. |
2500000.0 |
2200000.0 |
2700000.0 |
2344062.000 |
20940620.0 |
61.0 |
| Harrison F. |
175000000000.0 |
50000000000.0 |
300000000000.0 |
174999844062.000 |
749998440620.0 |
64.0 |
Number of votes for the top vote getter in the St. Louis mayoral primary election, March 4, 2025.
City election commissioners
Correct value: 23826
| Name |
point |
lower |
upper |
point_score |
int_score |
Score |
| Ava R. |
24850 |
22000 |
26000 |
1024 |
4000 |
2.0 |
| Megh P. |
25000 |
20000 |
30000 |
1174 |
10000 |
8.0 |
| Brady L. |
26000 |
23000 |
32000 |
2174 |
9000 |
10.5 |
| Seyun J. |
22000 |
18000 |
28000 |
1826 |
10000 |
11.0 |
| Ansel P. |
21529 |
17941 |
25117 |
2297 |
7176 |
11.0 |
| Bryan C. |
25000 |
20000 |
35000 |
1174 |
15000 |
12.0 |
| Kieran F. |
26000 |
19000 |
29000 |
2174 |
10000 |
12.5 |
| Lucas K. |
21000 |
15000 |
26500 |
2826 |
11500 |
17.0 |
| Luis P. |
22288 |
13700 |
31000 |
1538 |
17300 |
19.0 |
| Caroline L. |
20500 |
18000 |
23000 |
3326 |
13260 |
20.0 |
| Conor A. |
27000 |
25000 |
30000 |
3174 |
16740 |
23.5 |
| Bhanu M. |
28000 |
25000 |
30000 |
4174 |
16740 |
27.5 |
| Harrison F. |
18000 |
16000 |
23000 |
5826 |
15260 |
29.0 |
| Luke L. |
29500 |
20000 |
36000 |
5674 |
16000 |
29.0 |
| Dhyana P. |
28000 |
20000 |
40000 |
4174 |
20000 |
30.5 |
| Taylor C. |
25000 |
34000 |
18000 |
1174 |
176000 |
32.0 |
| Claudia L. |
20300 |
20000 |
21000 |
3526 |
29260 |
34.0 |
| Yohan L. |
28000 |
26000 |
30000 |
4174 |
25740 |
34.0 |
| Izzy L. |
30000 |
19000 |
40000 |
6174 |
21000 |
37.5 |
| Noah B. |
30166 |
20000 |
40000 |
6340 |
20000 |
38.5 |
| Mallareddy R. |
18500 |
14500 |
21000 |
5326 |
34760 |
39.0 |
| Dennis S. |
30000 |
25000 |
40000 |
6174 |
26740 |
40.5 |
| Jop G. |
37000 |
24000 |
45000 |
13174 |
22740 |
44.5 |
| Preet K. |
17528 |
14000 |
21000 |
6298 |
35260 |
45.0 |
| Alexander M. |
17000 |
10000 |
20000 |
6826 |
48260 |
48.0 |
| Trillyon E. |
33000 |
29000 |
34000 |
9174 |
56740 |
50.0 |
| Nikhil M. |
37000 |
30000 |
44000 |
13174 |
75740 |
52.5 |
| Waleed A. |
40000 |
30000 |
50000 |
16174 |
81740 |
55.0 |
| Kaitlyn L. |
4000 |
3000 |
15000 |
19826 |
100260 |
57.0 |
| Munazzah R. |
2500 |
2000 |
3000 |
21326 |
209260 |
61.0 |
| Rowan D. |
58350 |
41000 |
65000 |
34524 |
195740 |
61.0 |
| Venugopal R. |
120000 |
110000 |
130000 |
96174 |
881740 |
64.0 |
TSA checkpoint travel number (total passengers) for March 15, 2025.
TSA travel numbers
Correct value: 2485967
| Name |
point |
lower |
upper |
point_score |
int_score |
Score |
| Bhanu M. |
2460000.0 |
2410000.0 |
2510000.0 |
25967 |
100000 |
7.0 |
| Yohan L. |
2500000.0 |
2300000.0 |
2700000.0 |
14033 |
400000 |
9.0 |
| Seyun J. |
2450000.0 |
2200000.0 |
2500000.0 |
35967 |
300000 |
10.0 |
| Bryan C. |
2494066.0 |
2211813.0 |
2786688.0 |
8099 |
574875 |
11.0 |
| Ava R. |
2534123.0 |
2400000.0 |
2700000.0 |
48156 |
300000 |
11.5 |
| Mallareddy R. |
2500000.0 |
2300000.0 |
2850000.0 |
14033 |
550000 |
13.0 |
| Munazzah R. |
2400000.0 |
2200000.0 |
2600000.0 |
85967 |
400000 |
15.0 |
| Nikhil M. |
2450000.0 |
2200000.0 |
2700000.0 |
35967 |
500000 |
15.5 |
| Waleed A. |
2495549.0 |
2069303.0 |
2921794.0 |
9582 |
852491 |
18.0 |
| Noah B. |
2600000.0 |
2400000.0 |
2800000.0 |
114033 |
400000 |
18.0 |
| Lucas K. |
2500000.0 |
1875000.0 |
3000000.0 |
14033 |
1125000 |
25.0 |
| Dhyana P. |
2700000.0 |
2400000.0 |
3000000.0 |
214033 |
600000 |
28.0 |
| Brady L. |
2784621.0 |
2468024.0 |
2900000.0 |
298654 |
431976 |
29.0 |
| Trillyon E. |
2722855.0 |
2200000.0 |
2800000.0 |
236888 |
600000 |
30.0 |
| Preet K. |
2582259.0 |
1900000.0 |
3000000.0 |
96292 |
1100000 |
30.0 |
| Luis P. |
2574204.0 |
2005000.0 |
3125000.0 |
88237 |
1120000 |
31.0 |
| Kaitlyn L. |
2750000.0 |
2300000.0 |
3000000.0 |
264033 |
700000 |
33.0 |
| Caroline L. |
2275000.0 |
2150000.0 |
2400000.0 |
210967 |
1109670 |
34.0 |
| Kieran F. |
2800000.0 |
2300000.0 |
3100000.0 |
314033 |
800000 |
38.0 |
| Conor A. |
2700000.0 |
2600000.0 |
2750000.0 |
214033 |
1290330 |
39.5 |
| Dennis S. |
2900000.0 |
2400000.0 |
3200000.0 |
414033 |
800000 |
40.0 |
| Rowan D. |
2722855.0 |
2000000.0 |
3400000.0 |
236888 |
1400000 |
42.5 |
| Megh P. |
2200000.0 |
2000000.0 |
2400000.0 |
285967 |
1259670 |
43.0 |
| Ansel P. |
2353974.0 |
2543712.0 |
2126329.0 |
131993 |
4591213 |
43.0 |
| Jop G. |
3161411.0 |
2400000.0 |
3400000.0 |
675444 |
1000000 |
46.0 |
| Izzy L. |
2900000.0 |
2000000.0 |
3500000.0 |
414033 |
1500000 |
50.5 |
| Alexander M. |
2000000.0 |
1000000.0 |
3000000.0 |
485967 |
2000000 |
53.0 |
| Claudia L. |
2800000.0 |
3000000.0 |
2700000.0 |
314033 |
5440330 |
53.5 |
| Harrison F. |
3000000.0 |
2700000.0 |
3200000.0 |
514033 |
2640330 |
55.0 |
| Luke L. |
3300000.0 |
2700000.0 |
3700000.0 |
814033 |
3140330 |
58.0 |
| Venugopal R. |
2.5 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
2485964 |
24859642 |
62.0 |
| Taylor C. |
81999999.0 |
75000001.0 |
90000000.0 |
79514032 |
740140339 |
64.0 |
GOOGL stock price at closing, April 2, 2025.
Correct value: 157
| Name |
point |
lower |
upper |
point_score |
int_score |
Score |
| Seyun J. |
145.00 |
130.00 |
160.00 |
12.00 |
30.00 |
5.0 |
| Ava R. |
150.00 |
125.00 |
175.00 |
7.00 |
50.00 |
5.0 |
| Kaitlyn L. |
155.00 |
125.00 |
200.00 |
2.00 |
75.00 |
7.0 |
| Mallareddy R. |
175.00 |
155.00 |
195.00 |
18.00 |
40.00 |
8.0 |
| Luke L. |
174.00 |
150.00 |
215.00 |
17.00 |
65.00 |
10.0 |
| Izzy L. |
179.00 |
148.00 |
200.00 |
22.00 |
52.00 |
12.0 |
| Conor A. |
175.04 |
160.00 |
210.00 |
18.04 |
80.00 |
14.0 |
| Alexander M. |
166.00 |
166.00 |
276.00 |
9.00 |
200.00 |
18.5 |
| Luis P. |
189.00 |
140.00 |
239.00 |
32.00 |
99.00 |
19.0 |
| Brady L. |
193.00 |
150.00 |
234.00 |
36.00 |
84.00 |
19.0 |
| Megh P. |
180.00 |
170.00 |
190.00 |
23.00 |
150.00 |
21.5 |
| Lucas K. |
200.00 |
131.00 |
250.00 |
43.00 |
119.00 |
25.5 |
| Preet K. |
198.00 |
170.00 |
220.00 |
41.00 |
180.00 |
27.0 |
| Dhyana P. |
195.00 |
175.00 |
215.00 |
38.00 |
220.00 |
31.0 |
| Munazzah R. |
210.00 |
165.00 |
235.00 |
53.00 |
150.00 |
34.0 |
| Bryan C. |
204.00 |
171.00 |
238.00 |
47.00 |
207.00 |
34.0 |
| Kieran F. |
200.00 |
182.00 |
225.00 |
43.00 |
293.00 |
36.5 |
| Ansel P. |
199.04 |
196.38 |
202.03 |
42.04 |
399.45 |
38.0 |
| Jop G. |
220.00 |
160.00 |
250.00 |
63.00 |
120.00 |
39.5 |
| Noah B. |
212.00 |
170.00 |
240.00 |
55.00 |
200.00 |
40.0 |
| Taylor C. |
210.00 |
179.00 |
235.00 |
53.00 |
276.00 |
41.5 |
| Dennis S. |
206.00 |
196.00 |
210.00 |
49.00 |
404.00 |
43.5 |
| Claudia L. |
210.00 |
190.00 |
230.00 |
53.00 |
370.00 |
44.5 |
| Trillyon E. |
206.00 |
200.00 |
215.00 |
49.00 |
445.00 |
45.5 |
| Yohan L. |
220.00 |
170.00 |
250.00 |
63.00 |
210.00 |
46.5 |
| Harrison F. |
210.00 |
195.00 |
245.00 |
53.00 |
430.00 |
47.5 |
| Rowan D. |
215.00 |
180.00 |
260.00 |
58.00 |
310.00 |
49.0 |
| Nikhil M. |
212.00 |
210.00 |
224.00 |
55.00 |
544.00 |
54.5 |
| Bhanu M. |
214.00 |
206.00 |
220.00 |
57.00 |
504.00 |
55.0 |
| Waleed A. |
230.00 |
200.00 |
260.00 |
73.00 |
490.00 |
58.0 |
| Venugopal R. |
1600.00 |
1550.00 |
1650.00 |
1443.00 |
14030.00 |
62.0 |
| Caroline L. |
3120.00 |
2900.00 |
3350.00 |
2963.00 |
27880.00 |
64.0 |